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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hibernians v Hamrun Spartans: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Tony Bezzina Stadium
Hibernians 22%Draw 25%Hamrun Spartans 54% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.54
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✓54% · @1.48
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✓78% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.75

Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hibernians welcome Hamrun Spartans to Tony Bezzina Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Wednesday 18 February (18:30 WAT). In the table, Hibernians are 4th on 19 points after 12 matches; Hamrun Spartans are 5th with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hibernians 1.1 xG, Hamrun Spartans 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hibernians 22%, draw 25%, Hamrun Spartans 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hibernians 1–1 Hamrun Spartans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hibernians22%fair 4.65 · @6.00
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.90
Hamrun Spartans54%fair 1.86 · @1.48
2.63Expected goals
1.09Hibernians xG
1.54Hamrun Spartans xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Hibernians 1.1 – 1.5 Hamrun Spartans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamrun Spartans to win ✓54%1.861.48
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✓78%1.271.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.93 ▲
Draw no betHamrun Spartans (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapHibernians +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreHamrun Spartans to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.75–

Recent results

Hibernians – last 1

L
15 Feb@ Marsaxlokk1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Hamrun Spartans – last 1

D
13 Febvs Zabbar St. Patrick0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hibernians and Hamrun Spartans.

Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?

On our numbers Hibernians have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hamrun Spartans 54%.

How many goals will there be in Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?

Our predicted score is Hibernians 1–1 Hamrun Spartans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?

Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.