Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✗51% · @1.95
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Hamrun Spartans v Floriana in the Premier League, played at Tony Bezzina Stadium. In the table, Hamrun Spartans are 5th on 18 points after 12 matches; Floriana are 6th with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hamrun Spartans, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Marsaxlokk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Floriana, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Hibernians, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamrun Spartans 1.5 xG, Floriana 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamrun Spartans 51%, draw 26%, Floriana 22%.
Lower-risk option: Hamrun Spartans or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamrun Spartans 1–1 Floriana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamrun Spartans51%fair 1.94 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.95
Floriana22%fair 4.48 · @3.90
2.52Expected goals
1.53Hamrun Spartans xG
0.99Floriana xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 1.5 – 1.0 Floriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamrun Spartans to win✗
51%
1.94
1.95
Double chance
Hamrun Spartans or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Hamrun Spartans (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Floriana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Hamrun Spartans to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Hamrun Spartans – last 3
WWD
23 Feb
vs Marsaxlokk
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Hibernians
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Floriana – last 3
WDW
22 Feb
vs Hibernians
4–1
W
18 Feb
vs Marsaxlokk
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Tarxien Rainbows
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamrun Spartans and Floriana.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Floriana 22%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 1–1 Floriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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