Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Birkirkara travel to face Naxxar Lions on Sunday 1 March in the Premier League, with Centenary Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Birkirkara, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pietà Hotspurs, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naxxar Lions 1.4 xG, Birkirkara 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naxxar Lions 39%, draw 27%, Birkirkara 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naxxar Lions 1–1 Birkirkara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naxxar Lions39%fair 2.57 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.25
Birkirkara34%fair 2.91 · @2.38
2.54Expected goals
1.39Naxxar Lions xG
1.16Birkirkara xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Naxxar Lions 1.4 – 1.2 Birkirkara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✗
39%
2.57
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.57
Draw no bet
Naxxar Lions (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Birkirkara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Naxxar Lions to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Naxxar Lions – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Tarxien Rainbows
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Gzira United
4–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Birkirkara – last 3
WLD
25 Feb
vs Pietà Hotspurs
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Sliema Wanderers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naxxar Lions and Birkirkara.
What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara?
On our numbers Naxxar Lions have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Birkirkara 34%.
How many goals will there be in Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara?
Our predicted score is Naxxar Lions 1–1 Birkirkara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara?
Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
