Value bet: Houston Dash W to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHouston Dash W to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Houston Dash W vs Racing Louisville W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Houston Dash W v Racing Louisville W in the NWSL Women, played at Shell Energy Stadium. In the table, Houston Dash W are 12th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Racing Louisville W are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24.
Current form
Racing Louisville W, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Seattle Reign FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dash W 1.6 xG, Racing Louisville W 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dash W 44%, draw 24%, Racing Louisville W 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Houston Dash W to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dash W 1–1 Racing Louisville W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Houston Dash W44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.30
Racing Louisville W32%fair 3.10 · @2.50
2.90Expected goals
1.65Houston Dash W xG
1.25Racing Louisville W xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Houston Dash W 1.6 – 1.3 Racing Louisville W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houston Dash W to win✓
44%
2.29
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Houston Dash W (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Racing Louisville W +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Houston Dash W to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houston Dash W / FT Houston Dash W✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Houston Dash W – last 2
LW
28 Mar
@ Angel City W
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Racing Louisville W – last 3
LDL
28 Mar
@ Seattle Reign FC
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Washington Spirit W
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ North Carolina Courage W
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Houston Dash W and Racing Louisville W.
What is the prediction for Houston Dash W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Houston Dash W vs Racing Louisville W?
On our numbers Houston Dash W have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Racing Louisville W 32%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dash W vs Racing Louisville W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dash W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our predicted score is Houston Dash W 1–1 Racing Louisville W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Houston Dash W vs Racing Louisville W?
Houston Dash W vs Racing Louisville W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
