Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✗53% · @1.91
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 April the NWSL Women brings North Carolina Courage W against Portland Thorns W at WakeMed Soccer Park. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, North Carolina Courage W are 9th, lower half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Portland Thorns W are 6th (upper half) with 50.
Current form
North Carolina Courage W, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bay FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Portland Thorns W, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to San Diego Wave W, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Portland Thorns W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for North Carolina Courage W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give North Carolina Courage W 1.7 xG, Portland Thorns W 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – North Carolina Courage W 53%, draw 24%, Portland Thorns W 23%.
Lower-risk option: North Carolina Courage W or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
North Carolina Courage W53%fair 1.87 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Portland Thorns W23%fair 4.36 · @3.55
2.84Expected goals
1.74North Carolina Courage W xG
1.11Portland Thorns W xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 1.7 – 1.1 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
North Carolina Courage W to win✗
53%
1.87
1.91
Double chance
North Carolina Courage W or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
North Carolina Courage W (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Portland Thorns W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
North Carolina Courage W to score first
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W✗
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
North Carolina Courage W – last 3
LDW
29 Mar
vs Bay FC
1–3
L
21 Mar
@ NJNY Gotham FC W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Racing Louisville W
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portland Thorns W – last 3
LWW
26 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs Seattle Reign FC
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between North Carolina Courage W and Portland Thorns W.
What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W?
On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Portland Thorns W 23%.
How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our predicted score is North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W?
North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
