Chicago Red Stars W 18%Draw 21%Portland Thorns W 60%Expected goals 0.91 – 1.95
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultPortland Thorns W to win60% · @1.70
Double chancePortland Thorns W or draw82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.10
Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the NWSL Women brings Chicago Red Stars W against Portland Thorns W at SeatGeek Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Chicago Red Stars W are 16th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 30 matches; Portland Thorns W are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chicago Red Stars W, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to NJNY Gotham FC W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Portland Thorns W, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Diego Wave W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Portland Thorns W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Chicago Red Stars W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Red Stars W 0.9 xG, Portland Thorns W 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Red Stars W 18%, draw 21%, Portland Thorns W 60%.
Lower-risk option: Portland Thorns W or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Portland Thorns W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chicago Red Stars W18%fair 5.48 · @4.33
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.55
Portland Thorns W60%fair 1.65 · @1.70
2.86Expected goals
0.91Chicago Red Stars W xG
1.95Portland Thorns W xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Chicago Red Stars W 0.9 – 2.0 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Thorns W to win
60%
1.65
1.70
Double chance
Portland Thorns W or draw
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Portland Thorns W (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Portland Thorns W -0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Portland Thorns W to score first
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Portland Thorns W ahead at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Thorns W / FT Portland Thorns W
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Chicago Red Stars W – last 6
LWLLLL
30 Apr
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs Boston Legacy W
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Utah Royals W
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
0–2
L
26 Mar
vs Orlando Pride W
0–3
L
16 Mar
@ Angel City W
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portland Thorns W – last 6
WWDLWW
30 Apr
vs San Diego Wave W
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Angel City W
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ North Carolina Courage W
2–2
D
26 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs Seattle Reign FC
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chicago Red Stars W and Portland Thorns W.
What is the prediction for Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W?
On our numbers Chicago Red Stars W have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portland Thorns W 60%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our predicted score is Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Portland Thorns W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W?
Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at SeatGeek Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
