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NJNY Gotham FC W v Racing Louisville W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Sports Illustrated Stadium
Sun 3 May 2026
NJNY Gotham FC W 69%Draw 21%Racing Louisville W 10% Expected goals 2.04 – 0.70
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultNJNY Gotham FC W to win69% · @1.30
Double chanceNJNY Gotham FC W or draw90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–09% · fair 10.90

NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

NJNY Gotham FC W welcome Racing Louisville W to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a NWSL Women fixture on Sunday 3 May (22:00 WAT). In the table, NJNY Gotham FC W are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Racing Louisville W are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

NJNY Gotham FC W, last 4: WDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chicago Red Stars W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Racing Louisville W, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Washington Spirit W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours NJNY Gotham FC W, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Racing Louisville W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NJNY Gotham FC W 2.0 xG, Racing Louisville W 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NJNY Gotham FC W 69%, draw 21%, Racing Louisville W 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: NJNY Gotham FC W 2–0 Racing Louisville W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NJNY Gotham FC W69%fair 1.45 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.33
Racing Louisville W10%fair 10.13 · @9.50
2.74Expected goals
2.04NJNY Gotham FC W xG
0.70Racing Louisville W xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–06%

From our goals model: NJNY Gotham FC W 2.0 – 0.7 Racing Louisville W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNJNY Gotham FC W to win69%1.451.30
Double chanceNJNY Gotham FC W or draw90%1.111.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score51%1.981.62
Draw no betNJNY Gotham FC W (draw no bet)87%1.14–
Asian handicapNJNY Gotham FC W -0.5 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.921.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.441.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.17–
First team to scoreNJNY Gotham FC W to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultNJNY Gotham FC W ahead at half-time49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT NJNY Gotham FC W / FT NJNY Gotham FC W45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–09%10.90–

Recent results

NJNY Gotham FC W – last 4

WDLD
30 Apr@ Chicago Red Stars W2–0W
30 Marvs Orlando Pride W0–0D
26 Marvs Denver Summit W0–2L
21 Marvs North Carolina Courage W0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Racing Louisville W – last 5

LLLDL
30 Apr@ Washington Spirit W0–1L
4 Apr@ Houston Dash W3–4L
28 Mar@ Seattle Reign FC1–2L
21 Marvs Washington Spirit W2–2D
15 Mar@ North Carolina Courage W1–2L
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between NJNY Gotham FC W and Racing Louisville W.

NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W?

On our numbers NJNY Gotham FC W have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Racing Louisville W 10%.

How many goals will there be in NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W?

Our predicted score is NJNY Gotham FC W 2–0 Racing Louisville W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W?

NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.