NJNY Gotham FC W 69%Draw 21%Racing Louisville W 10%Expected goals 2.04 – 0.70
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultNJNY Gotham FC W to win69% · @1.30
Double chanceNJNY Gotham FC W or draw90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–09% · fair 10.90
NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NJNY Gotham FC W welcome Racing Louisville W to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a NWSL Women fixture on Sunday 3 May (22:00 WAT). In the table, NJNY Gotham FC W are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Racing Louisville W are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
NJNY Gotham FC W, last 4: WDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chicago Red Stars W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Racing Louisville W, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Washington Spirit W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours NJNY Gotham FC W, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Racing Louisville W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NJNY Gotham FC W 2.0 xG, Racing Louisville W 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NJNY Gotham FC W 69%, draw 21%, Racing Louisville W 10%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: NJNY Gotham FC W 2–0 Racing Louisville W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NJNY Gotham FC W69%fair 1.45 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.33
Racing Louisville W10%fair 10.13 · @9.50
2.74Expected goals
2.04NJNY Gotham FC W xG
0.70Racing Louisville W xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–06%
From our goals model: NJNY Gotham FC W 2.0 – 0.7 Racing Louisville W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NJNY Gotham FC W to win
69%
1.45
1.30
Double chance
NJNY Gotham FC W or draw
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.98
1.62
Draw no bet
NJNY Gotham FC W (draw no bet)
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
NJNY Gotham FC W -0.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
NJNY Gotham FC W to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
NJNY Gotham FC W ahead at half-time
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NJNY Gotham FC W / FT NJNY Gotham FC W
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
NJNY Gotham FC W – last 4
WDLD
30 Apr
@ Chicago Red Stars W
2–0
W
30 Mar
vs Orlando Pride W
0–0
D
26 Mar
vs Denver Summit W
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs North Carolina Courage W
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Racing Louisville W – last 5
LLLDL
30 Apr
@ Washington Spirit W
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Houston Dash W
3–4
L
28 Mar
@ Seattle Reign FC
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Washington Spirit W
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ North Carolina Courage W
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NJNY Gotham FC W and Racing Louisville W.
What is the prediction for NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W?
On our numbers NJNY Gotham FC W have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Racing Louisville W 10%.
How many goals will there be in NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our predicted score is NJNY Gotham FC W 2–0 Racing Louisville W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W?
NJNY Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.