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Houston Dash W v San Diego Wave W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Shell Energy Stadium
2–2
FT
Houston Dash W 21%Draw 26%San Diego Wave W 53% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.58
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Diego Wave W to win ✗53% · @1.67
Double chanceSan Diego Wave W or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Diego Wave W travel to face Houston Dash W on Thursday 21 May in the NWSL Women, with Shell Energy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Houston Dash W are 12th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; San Diego Wave W are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Houston Dash W, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kansas City W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

San Diego Wave W, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Washington Spirit W, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours San Diego Wave W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Houston Dash W.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended San Diego Wave W 0–1 Houston Dash W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dash W 1.0 xG, San Diego Wave W 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dash W 21%, draw 26%, San Diego Wave W 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: San Diego Wave W or draw (79%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dash W 1–1 San Diego Wave W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Houston Dash W21%fair 4.68 · @4.40
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.65
San Diego Wave W53%fair 1.88 · @1.67
2.61Expected goals
1.03Houston Dash W xG
1.58San Diego Wave W xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Houston Dash W 1.0 – 1.6 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Diego Wave W to win ✗53%1.881.67
Double chanceSan Diego Wave W or draw ✓79%1.271.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.801.70
Draw no betSan Diego Wave W (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapHouston Dash W +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreSan Diego Wave W to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Diego Wave W / FT San Diego Wave W ✗30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Houston Dash W – last 6

LLLLWL
16 May@ Kansas City W0–3L
10 Mayvs Denver Summit W1–4L
7 May@ Utah Royals W0–2L
26 Aprvs North Carolina Courage W0–1L
4 Aprvs Racing Louisville W4–3W
28 Mar@ Angel City W1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

San Diego Wave W – last 6

WWLLWW
16 Mayvs Washington Spirit W2–1W
10 May@ Angel City W2–1W
4 Mayvs Bay FC0–1L
30 Apr@ Portland Thorns W0–2L
26 Apr@ Denver Summit W3–2W
4 Apr@ Boston Legacy W1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026San Diego Wave W v Houston Dash W0–1
Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W?

On our numbers Houston Dash W have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Diego Wave W 53%.

How many goals will there be in Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our predicted score is Houston Dash W 1–1 San Diego Wave W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W?

Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.