Double chancePortland Thorns W or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Portland Thorns W vs Bay FC W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bay FC W travel to face Portland Thorns W on Thursday 21 May in the NWSL Women, with Providence Park the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Portland Thorns W are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 30 matches; Bay FC W are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Portland Thorns W, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Angel City W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Bay FC W, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Boston Legacy W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bay FC W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Portland Thorns W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portland Thorns W 1.8 xG, Bay FC W 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Thorns W 57%, draw 23%, Bay FC W 20%.
Lower-risk option: Portland Thorns W or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Thorns W 1–1 Bay FC W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portland Thorns W57%fair 1.75 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.45
Bay FC W20%fair 5.11 · @4.00
2.74Expected goals
1.76Portland Thorns W xG
0.98Bay FC W xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 1.8 – 1.0 Bay FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Thorns W to win✓
57%
1.75
1.77
Double chance
Portland Thorns W or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Draw no bet
Portland Thorns W (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Bay FC W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Portland Thorns W to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Thorns W / FT Portland Thorns W✓
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Portland Thorns W – last 6
DLWWDL
17 May
vs Angel City W
0–0
D
8 May
@ Racing Louisville W
1–3
L
30 Apr
vs San Diego Wave W
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Angel City W
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ North Carolina Courage W
2–2
D
26 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bay FC W – last 5
DWWLW
16 May
vs Boston Legacy W
1–1
D
4 May
@ San Diego Wave W
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ North Carolina Courage W
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Angel City W
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Denver Summit W
2–1
W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Thorns W and Bay FC W.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs Bay FC W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs Bay FC W?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bay FC W 20%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs Bay FC W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs Bay FC W?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 1–1 Bay FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs Bay FC W?
Portland Thorns W vs Bay FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
