Kansas City W vs Portland Thorns W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Portland Thorns W travel to face Kansas City W on Sunday 24 May in the NWSL Women, with CPKC Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Kansas City W are 4th, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; Portland Thorns W are 6th (upper half) with 50. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kansas City W, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Angel City W, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Portland Thorns W, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bay FC W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Portland Thorns W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Kansas City W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kansas City W 1.9 xG, Portland Thorns W 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kansas City W 58%, draw 23%, Portland Thorns W 19%.
Lower-risk option: Kansas City W or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kansas City W 1–1 Portland Thorns W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kansas City W58%fair 1.72 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.55
Portland Thorns W19%fair 5.25 · @4.33
2.95Expected goals
1.92Kansas City W xG
1.03Portland Thorns W xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kansas City W 1.9 – 1.0 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kansas City W to win✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Double chance
Kansas City W or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.77
Draw no bet
Kansas City W (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Portland Thorns W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Kansas City W to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Kansas City W ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kansas City W / FT Kansas City W✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Kansas City W – last 5
LWWLL
21 May
@ Angel City W
1–2
L
16 May
vs Houston Dash W
3–0
W
2 May
@ North Carolina Courage W
2–1
W
25 Apr
@ Washington Spirit W
0–4
L
26 Mar
@ Seattle Reign FC
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Portland Thorns W – last 6
WDLWWD
21 May
vs Bay FC W
2–0
W
17 May
vs Angel City W
0–0
D
8 May
@ Racing Louisville W
1–3
L
30 Apr
vs San Diego Wave W
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Angel City W
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ North Carolina Courage W
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kansas City W and Portland Thorns W.
What is the prediction for Kansas City W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kansas City W vs Portland Thorns W?
On our numbers Kansas City W have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portland Thorns W 19%.
How many goals will there be in Kansas City W vs Portland Thorns W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kansas City W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our predicted score is Kansas City W 1–1 Portland Thorns W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kansas City W vs Portland Thorns W?
Kansas City W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at CPKC Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
