Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bay FC W welcome Chicago Red Stars W to PayPal Park for a NWSL Women fixture on Sunday 24 May (22:00 WAT). In the table, Bay FC W are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Chicago Red Stars W are 16th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Bay FC W, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Portland Thorns W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Chicago Red Stars W, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to North Carolina Courage W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bay FC W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Chicago Red Stars W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bay FC W 1.8 xG, Chicago Red Stars W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bay FC W 61%, draw 23%, Chicago Red Stars W 16%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bay FC W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bay FC W61%fair 1.65 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.60
Chicago Red Stars W16%fair 6.15 · @5.10
2.63Expected goals
1.83Bay FC W xG
0.80Chicago Red Stars W xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bay FC W 1.8 – 0.8 Chicago Red Stars W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bay FC W to win✗
61%
1.65
1.60
Double chance
Bay FC W or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.85
Draw no bet
Bay FC W (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Bay FC W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Bay FC W to score first✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Bay FC W ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bay FC W / FT Bay FC W✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Bay FC W – last 6
LDWWLW
21 May
@ Portland Thorns W
0–2
L
16 May
vs Boston Legacy W
1–1
D
4 May
@ San Diego Wave W
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ North Carolina Courage W
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Angel City W
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Denver Summit W
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chicago Red Stars W – last 6
LLWLLL
16 May
@ North Carolina Courage W
0–4
L
30 Apr
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs Boston Legacy W
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Utah Royals W
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
0–2
L
26 Mar
vs Orlando Pride W
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bay FC W and Chicago Red Stars W.
What is the prediction for Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
On our numbers Bay FC W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chicago Red Stars W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our predicted score is Bay FC W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
