Chicago Red Stars W 16%Draw 20%Racing Louisville W 64%Expected goals 0.89 – 1.99
84%
Betarazi pick
Racing Louisville W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Racing Louisville W to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRacing Louisville W to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceRacing Louisville W or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing Louisville W travel to face Chicago Red Stars W on Sunday 23 August in the NWSL Women, with Martin Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Chicago Red Stars W are 16th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 30 matches; Racing Louisville W are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24.
Current form
Chicago Red Stars W, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Houston Dash W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Racing Louisville W, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Seattle Reign FC W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Racing Louisville W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Chicago Red Stars W.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Racing Louisville W 2–1 Chicago Red Stars W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Red Stars W 0.9 xG, Racing Louisville W 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Red Stars W 16%, draw 20%, Racing Louisville W 64%.
Lower-risk option: Racing Louisville W or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Racing Louisville W to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Racing Louisville W or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Red Stars W 0–1 Racing Louisville W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chicago Red Stars W16%fair 6.14 · @3.70
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.50
Racing Louisville W64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
2.88Expected goals
0.89Chicago Red Stars W xG
1.99Racing Louisville W xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Chicago Red Stars W 0.9 – 2.0 Racing Louisville W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our pick is Racing Louisville W or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?
On our numbers Chicago Red Stars W have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Racing Louisville W 64%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our predicted score is Chicago Red Stars W 0–1 Racing Louisville W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?
Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Martin Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
