Value bet: Bay FC W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBay FC W to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Bay FC W v Houston Dash W in the NWSL Women, played at PayPal Park. In the table, Bay FC W are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Houston Dash W are 12th (lower half) with 33.
Current form
Bay FC W, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Utah Royals W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Houston Dash W, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Chicago Red Stars W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Houston Dash W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Bay FC W.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Houston Dash W 1–0 Bay FC W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bay FC W 1.8 xG, Houston Dash W 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bay FC W 58%, draw 20%, Houston Dash W 22%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Bay FC W to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bay FC W 1–1 Houston Dash W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bay FC W58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.70
Houston Dash W22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
2.83Expected goals
1.82Bay FC W xG
1.01Houston Dash W xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Bay FC W 1.8 – 1.0 Houston Dash W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W?
On our numbers Bay FC W have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Houston Dash W 22%.
How many goals will there be in Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W?
Our predicted score is Bay FC W 1–1 Houston Dash W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W?
Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
