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NJNY Gotham FC W v Chicago Red Stars W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · Sports Illustrated Stadium
NJNY Gotham FC W 73%Draw 17%Chicago Red Stars W 10% Expected goals 2.28 – 0.70
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNJNY Gotham FC W to win ✓73% · @1.14
Double chanceNJNY Gotham FC W or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82

NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chicago Red Stars W travel to face NJNY Gotham FC W on Saturday 26 September in the NWSL Women, with Sports Illustrated Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, NJNY Gotham FC W are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Chicago Red Stars W are 16th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 44 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

NJNY Gotham FC W, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over North Carolina Courage W, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Chicago Red Stars W, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Washington Spirit W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours NJNY Gotham FC W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Chicago Red Stars W.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 NJNY Gotham FC W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NJNY Gotham FC W 2.3 xG, Chicago Red Stars W 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NJNY Gotham FC W 73%, draw 17%, Chicago Red Stars W 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: NJNY Gotham FC W 3–0 Chicago Red Stars W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NJNY Gotham FC W73%fair 1.37 · @1.14
Draw17%fair 5.89 · @8.50
Chicago Red Stars W10%fair 10.19 · @11.00
2.98Expected goals
2.28NJNY Gotham FC W xG
0.70Chicago Red Stars W xG
53%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: NJNY Gotham FC W 2.3 – 0.7 Chicago Red Stars W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNJNY Gotham FC W to win ✓73%1.371.14
Double chanceNJNY Gotham FC W or draw ✓90%1.111.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.872.25 ▲
Draw no betNJNY Gotham FC W (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapNJNY Gotham FC W -1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.741.83 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.36
First team to scoreNJNY Gotham FC W to score first ✓73%1.38–
Half-time resultNJNY Gotham FC W ahead at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT NJNY Gotham FC W / FT NJNY Gotham FC W ✓49%2.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.82–

Recent results

NJNY Gotham FC W – last 6

WWLDDW
19 Sep@ North Carolina Courage W2–1W
11 Sep@ Racing Louisville W2–1W
6 Sep@ Denver Summit W0–3L
29 Augvs Portland Thorns W1–1D
24 Aug@ Angel City W0–0D
15 Augvs Kansas City W2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chicago Red Stars W – last 6

LDLLWL
20 Sepvs Washington Spirit W0–3L
14 Sep@ Portland Thorns W1–1D
6 Sepvs North Carolina Courage W0–6L
30 Aug@ Denver Summit W1–6L
23 Augvs Racing Louisville W3–2W
20 Aug@ Houston Dash W0–5L
0.8Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Chicago Red Stars W v NJNY Gotham FC W0–2
NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

On our numbers NJNY Gotham FC W have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Chicago Red Stars W 10%.

How many goals will there be in NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

Our predicted score is NJNY Gotham FC W 3–0 Chicago Red Stars W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.