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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kansas City W v Denver Summit W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · CPKC Stadium
4–1
FT
Kansas City W 58%Draw 17%Denver Summit W 25% Expected goals 1.92 – 1.14
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1

Value bet: Kansas City W to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKansas City W to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Kansas City W v Denver Summit W in the NWSL Women, played at CPKC Stadium. In the table, Kansas City W are 4th, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; Denver Summit W are 10th (lower half) with 41. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kansas City W, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to San Diego Wave W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Denver Summit W, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Seattle Reign FC W, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Momentum favours Denver Summit W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Kansas City W.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Denver Summit W 0–3 Kansas City W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kansas City W 1.9 xG, Denver Summit W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kansas City W 58%, draw 17%, Denver Summit W 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Kansas City W to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kansas City W 1–1 Denver Summit W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kansas City W58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @3.60
Denver Summit W25%fair 3.98 · @3.10
3.06Expected goals
1.92Kansas City W xG
1.14Denver Summit W xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Kansas City W 1.9 – 1.1 Denver Summit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKansas City W to win ✓58%1.721.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.57
Draw no betKansas City W (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapDenver Summit W +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.651.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.291.25
First team to scoreKansas City W to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultKansas City W ahead at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kansas City W / FT Kansas City W ✗35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Kansas City W – last 6

LDWWDL
19 Sep@ San Diego Wave W0–2L
12 Sepvs Orlando Pride W2–2D
5 Sep@ Bay FC W2–1W
29 Augvs North Carolina Courage W3–2W
22 Augvs Seattle Reign FC W1–1D
15 Aug@ NJNY Gotham FC W1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Denver Summit W – last 6

WDDWWL
20 Sepvs Seattle Reign FC W2–1W
17 Sepvs Bay FC W2–2D
12 Sep@ Angel City W3–3D
6 Sepvs NJNY Gotham FC W3–0W
30 Augvs Chicago Red Stars W6–1W
23 Aug@ Portland Thorns W0–1L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Denver Summit W v Kansas City W0–3
Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W?

On our numbers Kansas City W have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Denver Summit W 25%.

How many goals will there be in Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W?

Our predicted score is Kansas City W 1–1 Denver Summit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W?

Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at CPKC Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.