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North Carolina Courage W v San Diego Wave W: numbers & prediction

NWSL Women · USA · WakeMed Soccer Park
North Carolina Courage W 38%Draw 22%San Diego Wave W 41% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.49
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Diego Wave W to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.64

North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

North Carolina Courage W welcome San Diego Wave W to WakeMed Soccer Park for a NWSL Women fixture on Sunday 18 October (00:00 WAT). In the table, North Carolina Courage W are 9th, lower half, on 45 points after 30 matches; San Diego Wave W are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

North Carolina Courage W, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Seattle Reign FC W, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

San Diego Wave W, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orlando Pride W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours San Diego Wave W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for North Carolina Courage W.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Sep 2026) it ended San Diego Wave W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give North Carolina Courage W 1.4 xG, San Diego Wave W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – North Carolina Courage W 38%, draw 22%, San Diego Wave W 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: North Carolina Courage W 1–1 San Diego Wave W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

North Carolina Courage W38%fair 2.66 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
San Diego Wave W41%fair 2.45 · @2.50
2.91Expected goals
1.42North Carolina Courage W xG
1.49San Diego Wave W xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 1.4 – 1.5 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Diego Wave W to win ✓41%2.452.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.44
Draw no betSan Diego Wave W (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapNorth Carolina Courage W +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreSan Diego Wave W to score first ✓48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Diego Wave W / FT San Diego Wave W ✓23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.64–

Recent results

North Carolina Courage W – last 6

WLLLWL
3 Oct@ Seattle Reign FC W1–0W
28 Sep@ Utah Royals W1–2L
19 Sepvs NJNY Gotham FC W1–2L
12 Sep@ San Diego Wave W1–2L
6 Sep@ Chicago Red Stars W6–0W
29 Aug@ Kansas City W2–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

San Diego Wave W – last 6

WWWWLW
3 Oct@ Orlando Pride W2–1W
25 Sep@ Racing Louisville W2–0W
19 Sepvs Kansas City W2–0W
12 Sepvs North Carolina Courage W2–1W
7 Sep@ Seattle Reign FC W0–1L
29 Augvs Racing Louisville W3–2W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Sep 2026San Diego Wave W v North Carolina Courage W2–1
North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W?

On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Diego Wave W 41%.

How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our predicted score is North Carolina Courage W 1–1 San Diego Wave W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W?

North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.