Bay FC W 37%Draw 20%Portland Thorns W 43%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.49
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPortland Thorns W to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Bay FC W v Portland Thorns W in the NWSL Women, played at PayPal Park. In the table, Bay FC W are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Portland Thorns W are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bay FC W, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Kansas City W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Portland Thorns W, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Boston Legacy W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended Portland Thorns W 2–0 Bay FC W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bay FC W 1.4 xG, Portland Thorns W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bay FC W 37%, draw 20%, Portland Thorns W 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bay FC W 1–1 Portland Thorns W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bay FC W37%fair 2.69 · @2.45
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.60
Portland Thorns W43%fair 2.33 · @2.25
2.85Expected goals
1.36Bay FC W xG
1.49Portland Thorns W xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Bay FC W 1.4 – 1.5 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W?
On our numbers Bay FC W have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Portland Thorns W 43%.
How many goals will there be in Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our predicted score is Bay FC W 1–1 Portland Thorns W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W?
Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
