Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultBreidablik to win ✓62% · @1.45
Double chanceBreidablik or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:15 WAT, Monday 27 April: Breidablik v Thor Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild. In the table, Breidablik are 5th on 36 points after 27 matches; Thor Akureyri are 4th with 30.
Current form
Breidablik, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Keflavik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Thor Akureyri, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fram Reykjavik, at home. The attack is flying at 2.6 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Breidablik 2.1 xG, Thor Akureyri 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Breidablik 62%, draw 20%, Thor Akureyri 17%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Breidablik 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Breidablik62%fair 1.60 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.75
Thor Akureyri17%fair 5.72 · @5.00
3.12Expected goals
2.06Breidablik xG
1.07Thor Akureyri xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Breidablik 2.1 – 1.1 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Breidablik to win✓
62%
1.60
1.45
Double chance
Breidablik or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.42
Draw no bet
Breidablik (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Breidablik -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.36
First team to score
Breidablik to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Breidablik ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Breidablik / FT Breidablik✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Breidablik – last 6
DWDLWL
22 Apr
@ Keflavik
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs IA Akranes
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Leiknir R.
2–3
L
19 Feb
vs FH hafnarfjordur
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Throttur Reykjavik
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Thor Akureyri – last 5
WLLWW
23 Apr
vs Fram Reykjavik
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–5
L
17 Mar
vs Fylkir
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Valur Reykjavik
5–1
W
25 Feb
@ Afturelding
5–0
W
2.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Breidablik and Thor Akureyri.
What is the prediction for Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?
On our numbers Breidablik have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Thor Akureyri 17%.
How many goals will there be in Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Breidablik 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?
Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
