Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Úrvalsdeild brings Stjarnan against Valur Reykjavik. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, Stjarnan are 1st on 34 points after 27 matches; Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stjarnan, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Vikingur Reykjavik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Valur Reykjavik, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FH hafnarfjordur, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Stjarnan, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Valur Reykjavik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stjarnan 2.4 xG, Valur Reykjavik 1.7 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 78% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stjarnan 52%, draw 21%, Valur Reykjavik 27%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stjarnan 2–1 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stjarnan52%fair 1.91 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.80
Valur Reykjavik27%fair 3.77 · @3.30
4.11Expected goals
2.39Stjarnan xG
1.73Valur Reykjavik xG
70%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
2–27%
1–17%
3–16%
1–26%
3–26%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.4 – 1.7 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stjarnan to win✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Draw no bet
Stjarnan (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Valur Reykjavik +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
First team to score
Stjarnan to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Stjarnan ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.45
–
Recent results
Stjarnan – last 4
LWWW
23 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
2–3
L
17 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs Selfoss
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Ægir
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Valur Reykjavik – last 6
WWLLLW
23 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–4
L
10 Mar
@ Thor Akureyri
1–5
L
26 Feb
@ IA Akranes
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Afturelding
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stjarnan and Valur Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Valur Reykjavik 27%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
