Keflavik vs Stjarnan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stjarnan travel to face Keflavik on Sunday 17 May in the Úrvalsdeild – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Keflavik are 6th on 30 points after 27 matches; Stjarnan are 1st with 34.
Current form
Keflavik, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over IA Akranes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Stjarnan, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over KR Reykjavik, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Keflavik, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Stjarnan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Keflavik 1.9 xG, Stjarnan 1.9 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Keflavik 37%, draw 22%, Stjarnan 41%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keflavik 1–1 Stjarnan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Keflavik37%fair 2.71 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.80
Stjarnan41%fair 2.42 · @2.10
3.76Expected goals
1.88Keflavik xG
1.88Stjarnan xG
71%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: Keflavik 1.9 – 1.9 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stjarnan to win✗
41%
2.42
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Draw no bet
Stjarnan (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Keflavik +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.33
First team to score
Stjarnan to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.94
–
Recent results
Keflavik – last 6
WDLWWW
8 May
@ IA Akranes
3–1
W
22 Apr
vs Breidablik
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Fram Reykjavik
1–3
L
6 Mar
vs Fram Reykjavik
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Ægir
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ Vestri
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Stjarnan – last 6
WLLLWW
13 May
vs KR Reykjavik
2–1
W
8 May
vs KR Reykjavik
2–3
L
27 Apr
vs Valur Reykjavik
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
2–3
L
17 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs Selfoss
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keflavik and Stjarnan.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Keflavik vs Stjarnan?
On our numbers Keflavik have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stjarnan 41%.
How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs Stjarnan?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs Stjarnan?
Our predicted score is Keflavik 1–1 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Keflavik vs Stjarnan?
Keflavik vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
