Valur Reykjavik vs Breidablik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Úrvalsdeild brings Valur Reykjavik against Breidablik. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Valur Reykjavik are 2nd on 34 points after 27 matches; Breidablik are 5th with 36. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Valur Reykjavik, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Fram Reykjavik, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Breidablik, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Throttur Reykjavik, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Breidablik, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Valur Reykjavik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valur Reykjavik 1.8 xG, Breidablik 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valur Reykjavik 36%, draw 21%, Breidablik 42%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valur Reykjavik 1–2 Breidablik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valur Reykjavik36%fair 2.75 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.80
Breidablik42%fair 2.36 · @2.10
3.73Expected goals
1.83Valur Reykjavik xG
1.89Breidablik xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: Valur Reykjavik 1.8 – 1.9 Breidablik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Breidablik to win✗
42%
2.36
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Draw no bet
Breidablik (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Valur Reykjavik +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.33
First team to score
Breidablik to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Breidablik / FT Breidablik✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.65
–
Recent results
Valur Reykjavik – last 6
LWWWLL
8 May
@ Fram Reykjavik
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ Stjarnan
4–2
W
23 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–4
L
10 Mar
@ Thor Akureyri
1–5
L
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Breidablik – last 6
WDWDWD
13 May
@ Throttur Reykjavik
2–1
W
8 May
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–3
D
27 Apr
vs Thor Akureyri
4–0
W
22 Apr
@ Keflavik
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs IA Akranes
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valur Reykjavik and Breidablik.
What is the prediction for Valur Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
On our numbers Valur Reykjavik have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Breidablik 42%.
How many goals will there be in Valur Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valur Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
Our predicted score is Valur Reykjavik 1–2 Breidablik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Valur Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
Valur Reykjavik vs Breidablik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
