KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 22 May the Úrvalsdeild brings KA Akureyri against Valur Reykjavik. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, KA Akureyri are 5th on 29 points after 27 matches; Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34.
Current form
KA Akureyri, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FH hafnarfjordur, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Valur Reykjavik, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Breidablik, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Valur Reykjavik, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for KA Akureyri.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KA Akureyri 2.0 xG, Valur Reykjavik 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KA Akureyri 44%, draw 21%, Valur Reykjavik 35%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: KA Akureyri 2–1 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KA Akureyri44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.00
Valur Reykjavik35%fair 2.86 · @2.60
3.74Expected goals
2.03KA Akureyri xG
1.71Valur Reykjavik xG
70%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: KA Akureyri 2.0 – 1.7 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KA Akureyri to win✗
44%
2.25
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Draw no bet
KA Akureyri (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Valur Reykjavik +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
First team to score
KA Akureyri to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
KA Akureyri ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KA Akureyri / FT KA Akureyri✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
KA Akureyri – last 6
WLDLLW
17 May
@ FH hafnarfjordur
2–1
W
14 May
vs Ægir
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ IA Akranes
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Njardvik
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Valur Reykjavik – last 6
WLWWWL
17 May
vs Breidablik
3–2
W
8 May
@ Fram Reykjavik
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ Stjarnan
4–2
W
23 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–4
L
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KA Akureyri and Valur Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers KA Akureyri have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Valur Reykjavik 35%.
How many goals will there be in KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is KA Akureyri 2–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
