Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultKeflavik to win ✓55% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thor Akureyri travel to face Keflavik on Friday 22 May in the Úrvalsdeild – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Keflavik are 6th on 30 points after 27 matches; Thor Akureyri are 4th with 30. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Keflavik, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stjarnan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Thor Akureyri, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to IA Akranes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Keflavik, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Thor Akureyri.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Keflavik 2.0 xG, Thor Akureyri 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Keflavik 55%, draw 22%, Thor Akureyri 23%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keflavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Keflavik55%fair 1.82 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.10
Thor Akureyri23%fair 4.29 · @3.80
3.31Expected goals
2.02Keflavik xG
1.29Thor Akureyri xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Keflavik 2.0 – 1.3 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Keflavik to win✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Draw no bet
Keflavik (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Thor Akureyri +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.35
First team to score
Keflavik to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Keflavik ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Keflavik / FT Keflavik✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Keflavik – last 6
DWDLWW
17 May
vs Stjarnan
1–1
D
8 May
@ IA Akranes
3–1
W
22 Apr
vs Breidablik
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Fram Reykjavik
1–3
L
6 Mar
vs Fram Reykjavik
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Ægir
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Thor Akureyri – last 6
LLLWLL
17 May
vs IA Akranes
1–2
L
8 May
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
0–6
L
27 Apr
@ Breidablik
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Fram Reykjavik
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–5
L
17 Mar
vs Fylkir
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keflavik and Thor Akureyri.
What is the prediction for Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
On our numbers Keflavik have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Thor Akureyri 23%.
How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Keflavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
