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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

IA Akranes v Valur Reykjavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
1–0
FT
IA Akranes 48%Draw 20%Valur Reykjavik 31% Expected goals 2.26 – 1.65
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultIA Akranes to win ✓48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84

IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 16 June the Úrvalsdeild brings IA Akranes against Valur Reykjavik. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, IA Akranes are 4th on 38 points after 27 matches; Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34.

Current form

IA Akranes, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vikingur Reykjavik, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Valur Reykjavik, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Vikingur Reykjavik, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Feb 2026) it ended IA Akranes 2–1 Valur Reykjavik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IA Akranes 2.3 xG, Valur Reykjavik 1.6 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – IA Akranes 48%, draw 20%, Valur Reykjavik 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: IA Akranes 2–1 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

IA Akranes48%fair 2.06 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.80
Valur Reykjavik31%fair 3.21 · @2.75
3.91Expected goals
2.26IA Akranes xG
1.65Valur Reykjavik xG
68%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
3–16%
1–26%
3–25%

From our goals model: IA Akranes 2.3 – 1.6 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIA Akranes to win ✓48%2.062.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.471.30
Draw no betIA Akranes (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapValur Reykjavik +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72%1.391.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.891.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.511.38
First team to scoreIA Akranes to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultIA Akranes ahead at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT IA Akranes / FT IA Akranes ✓33%3.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

IA Akranes – last 6

LWDWLL
12 Junvs Vikingur Reykjavik1–2L
29 May@ FH hafnarfjordur1–0W
21 Mayvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–2D
17 May@ Thor Akureyri2–1W
8 Mayvs Keflavik1–3L
27 Apr@ Vikingur Reykjavik0–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Valur Reykjavik – last 6

LLWWLW
31 Mayvs Vikingur Reykjavik1–5L
26 May@ KR Reykjavik1–3L
22 May@ KA Akureyri1–0W
17 Mayvs Breidablik3–2W
8 May@ Fram Reykjavik2–3L
27 Apr@ Stjarnan4–2W
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Feb 2026IA Akranes v Valur Reykjavik2–1
IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?

On our numbers IA Akranes have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valur Reykjavik 31%.

How many goals will there be in IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our predicted score is IA Akranes 2–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?

IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.