Stjarnan vs Breidablik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stjarnan welcome Breidablik for a Úrvalsdeild fixture on Tuesday 16 June (20:15 WAT). In the table, Stjarnan are 1st on 34 points after 27 matches; Breidablik are 5th with 36. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stjarnan, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Afturelding, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Breidablik, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ægir, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Breidablik, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Stjarnan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stjarnan 2.0 xG, Breidablik 2.0 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 72% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stjarnan 37%, draw 20%, Breidablik 42%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stjarnan 2–1 Breidablik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stjarnan37%fair 2.69 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.10
Breidablik42%fair 2.35 · @2.00
3.96Expected goals
2.00Stjarnan xG
1.96Breidablik xG
72%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.0 – 2.0 Breidablik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Breidablik to win✗
42%
2.35
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Draw no bet
Breidablik (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Breidablik +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
First team to score
Stjarnan to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Stjarnan ahead at half-time✗
34%
2.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.66
–
Recent results
Stjarnan – last 6
LWLLDW
10 Jun
@ Afturelding
1–3
L
31 May
@ Thor Akureyri
3–1
W
26 May
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1–3
L
22 May
vs Fram Reykjavik
0–1
L
17 May
@ Keflavik
1–1
D
13 May
vs KR Reykjavik
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Breidablik – last 6
WLWLWD
12 Jun
@ Ægir
3–0
W
29 May
@ Fram Reykjavik
3–4
L
22 May
vs KR Reykjavik
6–3
W
17 May
@ Valur Reykjavik
2–3
L
13 May
@ Throttur Reykjavik
2–1
W
8 May
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–3
D
3.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stjarnan and Breidablik.
What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs Breidablik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Stjarnan vs Breidablik?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Breidablik 42%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Breidablik?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Breidablik?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 Breidablik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs Breidablik?
Stjarnan vs Breidablik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
