Stjarnan vs Keflavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Úrvalsdeild brings Stjarnan against Keflavik. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Stjarnan are 1st on 34 points after 27 matches; Keflavik are 6th with 30.
Current form
Stjarnan, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Valur Reykjavik, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Keflavik, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over KA Akureyri, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Keflavik, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Stjarnan.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Keflavik 1–1 Stjarnan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stjarnan 2.3 xG, Keflavik 1.6 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stjarnan 53%, draw 21%, Keflavik 26%.
GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stjarnan 2–1 Keflavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stjarnan53%fair 1.87 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.20
Keflavik26%fair 3.84 · @3.40
3.88Expected goals
2.26Stjarnan xG
1.62Keflavik xG
73%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–16%
1–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.3 – 1.6 Keflavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stjarnan vs Keflavik?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Keflavik 26%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Keflavik?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Keflavik?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 Keflavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs Keflavik?
Stjarnan vs Keflavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
