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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Breidablik v Valur Reykjavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
1–3
FT
Breidablik 57%Draw 21%Valur Reykjavik 22% Expected goals 2.37 – 1.56
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultBreidablik to win ✗57% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Breidablik welcome Valur Reykjavik for a Úrvalsdeild fixture on Sunday 9 August (21:15 WAT). In the table, Breidablik are 5th on 36 points after 27 matches; Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Breidablik, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Thor Akureyri, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Valur Reykjavik, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Nordsjaelland, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Breidablik, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Valur Reykjavik.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Valur Reykjavik 3–2 Breidablik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Breidablik 2.4 xG, Valur Reykjavik 1.6 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Breidablik 57%, draw 21%, Valur Reykjavik 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Breidablik 2–1 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Breidablik57%fair 1.75 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.40
Valur Reykjavik22%fair 4.51 · @4.33
3.93Expected goals
2.37Breidablik xG
1.56Valur Reykjavik xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
1–26%
2–06%

From our goals model: Breidablik 2.4 – 1.6 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBreidablik to win ✗57%1.751.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.461.30
Draw no betBreidablik (draw no bet) ✗72%1.39–
Asian handicapValur Reykjavik +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.571.48
First team to scoreBreidablik to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultBreidablik ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Breidablik / FT Breidablik ✗36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.62–

Recent results

Breidablik – last 6

LWDWWW
4 Aug@ Thor Akureyri0–1L
27 Julvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–0W
20 Jul@ FH hafnarfjordur0–0D
13 Julvs Keflavik2–1W
4 Jul@ IA Akranes2–1W
28 Junvs Vikingur Reykjavik3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Valur Reykjavik – last 6

LLDWLL
6 Augvs FC Nordsjaelland0–2L
3 Augvs Stjarnan2–3L
30 Jul@ Zrinjski2–2D
23 Julvs Zrinjski1–0W
18 Julvs Fram Reykjavik2–3L
12 Jul@ FH hafnarfjordur0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Valur Reykjavik v Breidablik3–2
Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik?

On our numbers Breidablik have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Valur Reykjavik 22%.

How many goals will there be in Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our predicted score is Breidablik 2–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik?

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.