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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Keflavik v IBV Vestmannaeyjar: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
1–0
FT
Keflavik 55%Draw 19%IBV Vestmannaeyjar 26% Expected goals 2.13 – 1.42
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Keflavik to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKeflavik to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82

Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Úrvalsdeild brings Keflavik against IBV Vestmannaeyjar. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Keflavik are 6th on 30 points after 27 matches; IBV Vestmannaeyjar are 6th with 22.

Current form

Keflavik, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Thor Akureyri, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to IA Akranes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Keflavik, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6–1 Keflavik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Keflavik 2.1 xG, IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Keflavik 55%, draw 19%, IBV Vestmannaeyjar 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Keflavik to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keflavik 2–1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Keflavik55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @3.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar26%fair 3.77 · @2.90
3.55Expected goals
2.13Keflavik xG
1.42IBV Vestmannaeyjar xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
3–17%
2–06%
1–26%

From our goals model: Keflavik 2.1 – 1.4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKeflavik to win ✓55%1.831.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.44
Draw no betKeflavik (draw no bet) ✓67%1.48–
Asian handicapIBV Vestmannaeyjar +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
First team to scoreKeflavik to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultKeflavik ahead at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Keflavik / FT Keflavik ✓34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.82–

Recent results

Keflavik – last 6

WLWLWL
15 Aug@ Thor Akureyri2–0W
9 Aug@ Stjarnan0–1L
5 Augvs KA Akureyri3–0W
24 Jul@ Vikingur Reykjavik1–5L
20 Julvs IA Akranes5–2W
13 Jul@ Breidablik1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

IBV Vestmannaeyjar – last 6

LDLLDL
16 Augvs IA Akranes1–3L
9 Aug@ Vikingur Reykjavik2–2D
1 Augvs Fram Reykjavik1–2L
27 Jul@ Breidablik0–1L
19 Julvs KA Akureyri2–2D
12 Jul@ KR Reykjavik2–5L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026IBV Vestmannaeyjar v Keflavik6–1
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

On our numbers Keflavik have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 19% and IBV Vestmannaeyjar 26%.

How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

Our predicted score is Keflavik 2–1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.