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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stjarnan v Thor Akureyri: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland

Stjarnan

LWWLL
4–2
FT

Thor Akureyri

LLWDW
Stjarnan 69%Draw 20%Thor Akureyri 11% Expected goals 2.70 – 1.09
69%
Betarazi pick

Stjarnan to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultStjarnan to win ✓69% · @1.40
Double chanceStjarnan or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Stjarnan v Thor Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild. In the table, Stjarnan are 1st on 34 points after 27 matches; Thor Akureyri are 4th with 30.

Current form

Stjarnan, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Fram Reykjavik, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Thor Akureyri, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Keflavik, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Thor Akureyri 1–3 Stjarnan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stjarnan 2.7 xG, Thor Akureyri 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stjarnan 69%, draw 20%, Thor Akureyri 11%.
  • Lower-risk option: Stjarnan or draw (89%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Stjarnan to win (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stjarnan 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stjarnan69%fair 1.44 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.80
Thor Akureyri11%fair 9.29 · @5.00
3.79Expected goals
2.70Stjarnan xG
1.09Thor Akureyri xG
68%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.7 – 1.1 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStjarnan to win ✓69%1.441.40
Double chanceStjarnan or draw ✓89%1.121.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.40
Draw no betStjarnan (draw no bet) ✓87%1.16–
Asian handicapStjarnan -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
First team to scoreStjarnan to score first ✓70%1.44–
Half-time resultStjarnan ahead at half-time ✓54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan ✓49%2.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Stjarnan – last 6

LWWLLW
17 Aug@ Fram Reykjavik1–3L
9 Augvs Keflavik1–0W
3 Aug@ Valur Reykjavik3–2W
30 Jul@ Ilves0–1L
26 Jul@ IA Akranes1–5L
23 Julvs Ilves1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Thor Akureyri – last 6

LLWDWL
15 Augvs Keflavik0–2L
9 Aug@ IA Akranes0–2L
4 Augvs Breidablik1–0W
27 Jul@ KA Akureyri0–0D
18 Julvs Vikingur Reykjavik2–1W
12 Jul@ Fram Reykjavik1–6L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Thor Akureyri v Stjarnan1–3
Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub
FT IA Akranes1 FH hafnarfjordur1 155%1.95X20%3.60225%3.00 2.1–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.36 ✓
FT KA Akureyri3 KR Reykjavik5 121%4.20X12%5.00267%1.44 1.7–3.0xG GGBoth teams to score 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Keflavik1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar0 155%1.95X19%3.80226%2.90 2.1–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Vikingur Reykjavik2 Valur Reykjavik0 173%1.25X16%6.00211%7.00 2.9–1.1xG 1Vikingur Reykjavik to win 73%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri?

Our pick is Stjarnan to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri?

On our numbers Stjarnan have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Thor Akureyri 11%.

How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri?

Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri?

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.