Colwyn Bay 42%Draw 24%Caernarfon Town 34%Expected goals 1.59 – 1.50
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultColwyn Bay to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Colwyn Bay welcome Caernarfon Town to Llanelian Road for a Premier League fixture on Friday 3 April (14:30 WAT). In the table, Colwyn Bay are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Caernarfon Town are 6th (upper half) with 29. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Colwyn Bay, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over The New Saints, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Caernarfon Town, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to The New Saints, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Caernarfon Town 3–0 Colwyn Bay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colwyn Bay 1.6 xG, Caernarfon Town 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colwyn Bay 42%, draw 24%, Caernarfon Town 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colwyn Bay 1–1 Caernarfon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colwyn Bay42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.40
Caernarfon Town34%fair 2.93 · @3.10
3.09Expected goals
1.59Colwyn Bay xG
1.50Caernarfon Town xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Colwyn Bay 1.6 – 1.5 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers Colwyn Bay have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Caernarfon Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is Colwyn Bay 1–1 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town?
Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Llanelian Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
llanelli AFC0
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