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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

The New Saints v GAP Connah S Quay FC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Park Hall
The New Saints 59%Draw 24%GAP Connah S Quay FC 18% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.89
59%
Betarazi pick

The New Saints to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultThe New Saints to win ✓59% · @1.44
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.28

The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Friday 3 April: The New Saints v GAP Connah S Quay FC in the Premier League, played at Park Hall. In the table, The New Saints are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 16 matches; GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 38.

Current form

The New Saints, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Caernarfon Town, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 4: DWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barry Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours The New Saints, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.0 for GAP Connah S Quay FC.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–2 The New Saints.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give The New Saints 1.7 xG, GAP Connah S Quay FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – The New Saints 59%, draw 24%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was The New Saints to win (59%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: The New Saints 1–0 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

The New Saints59%fair 1.70 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC18%fair 5.64 · @6.00
2.64Expected goals
1.75The New Saints xG
0.89GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: The New Saints 1.7 – 0.9 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThe New Saints to win ✓59%1.701.44
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.73
Draw no betThe New Saints (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapGAP Connah S Quay FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreThe New Saints to score first62%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT The New Saints / FT The New Saints ✗36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.28–

Recent results

The New Saints – last 5

WLWWW
27 Mar@ Caernarfon Town4–0W
20 Marvs Colwyn Bay0–2L
3 Mar@ GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1W
20 Febvs Caernarfon Town2–1W
13 Feb@ Colwyn Bay2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 4

DWLL
29 Marvs Barry Town1–1D
13 Mar@ Caernarfon Town4–2W
3 Marvs The New Saints1–2L
21 Feb@ Barry Town0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026GAP Connah S Quay FC v The New Saints1–2
The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our pick is The New Saints to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

On our numbers The New Saints have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our predicted score is The New Saints 1–0 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.