Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultSaburtalo to win ✓52% · @1.60
Double chanceSaburtalo or draw ✓78% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Gagra vs Saburtalo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Saburtalo travel to face Gagra on Friday 3 April in the Erovnuli Liga, with David Petriashvili Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Gagra are 9th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Saburtalo are 2nd (among the top four) with 59. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gagra, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rustavi, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Saburtalo, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dinamo Tbilisi, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gagra 0.8 xG, Saburtalo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gagra 22%, draw 26%, Saburtalo 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gagra 0–1 Saburtalo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gagra22%fair 4.62 · @4.75
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.60
Saburtalo52%fair 1.91 · @1.60
2.11Expected goals
0.83Gagra xG
1.28Saburtalo xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gagra 0.8 – 1.3 Saburtalo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saburtalo to win✓
52%
1.91
1.60
Double chance
Saburtalo or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Saburtalo (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Gagra +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Saburtalo to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saburtalo / FT Saburtalo✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.43
–
Recent results
Gagra – last 4
WLLD
15 Mar
@ Rustavi
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Spaeri
0–3
L
2 Mar
vs Samgurali
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Bunyodkor
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Saburtalo – last 3
DLW
15 Mar
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Dila
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gagra and Saburtalo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gagra vs Saburtalo?
On our numbers Gagra have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Saburtalo 52%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Saburtalo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Our predicted score is Gagra 0–1 Saburtalo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Gagra vs Saburtalo (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
