Samgurali vs Rustavi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Samgurali welcome Rustavi to 26 May Stadium for a Erovnuli Liga fixture on Friday 3 April (12:00 WAT). In the table, Samgurali are 7th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Rustavi are 4th (among the top four) with 56. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Samgurali, last 4: LDDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Spaeri, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Rustavi, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gagra, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Samgurali, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Rustavi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samgurali 1.1 xG, Rustavi 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samgurali 44%, draw 27%, Rustavi 29%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samgurali 1–1 Rustavi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samgurali44%fair 2.26 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.90
Rustavi29%fair 3.51 · @3.50
2.08Expected goals
1.07Samgurali xG
1.01Rustavi xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Samgurali 1.1 – 1.0 Rustavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Samgurali to win✓
44%
2.26
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Draw no bet
Samgurali (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Rustavi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Samgurali to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
13.79
–
Recent results
Samgurali – last 4
LDDW
16 Mar
@ Spaeri
1–4
L
12 Mar
vs Dinamo Batumi
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Gagra
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Rustavi – last 3
LDL
15 Mar
vs Gagra
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
17 Feb
vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samgurali and Rustavi.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Samgurali vs Rustavi?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rustavi 29%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Rustavi?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Rustavi?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 1–1 Rustavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Rustavi?
Samgurali vs Rustavi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
