Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDinamo Tbilisi to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceDinamo Tbilisi or draw ✗84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gagra travel to face Dinamo Tbilisi on Tuesday 21 April in the Erovnuli Liga, with Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Dinamo Tbilisi are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 32 matches; Gagra are 9th (in the drop zone) with 31. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dinamo Tbilisi, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Meshakhte, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gagra, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Torpedo Kutaisi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dinamo Tbilisi 1.6 xG, Gagra 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dinamo Tbilisi 60%, draw 24%, Gagra 16%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dinamo Tbilisi to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Gagra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dinamo Tbilisi60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.25
Gagra16%fair 6.40 · @5.00
2.33Expected goals
1.62Dinamo Tbilisi xG
0.71Gagra xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Dinamo Tbilisi 1.6 – 0.7 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Tbilisi to win✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Double chance
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Dinamo Tbilisi (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Gagra +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Dinamo Tbilisi to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Tbilisi / FT Dinamo Tbilisi✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Dinamo Tbilisi – last 6
DDLDDD
17 Apr
vs Meshakhte
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Dila
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Saburtalo
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Rustavi
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Navbahor
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gagra – last 6
DDLWLL
17 Apr
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Dila
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Saburtalo
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Rustavi
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Spaeri
0–3
L
2 Mar
vs Samgurali
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Tbilisi and Gagra.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
Our pick is Dinamo Tbilisi to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
On our numbers Dinamo Tbilisi have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gagra 16%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
