Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Kutaisi to win ✓54% · @1.83
Double chanceTorpedo Kutaisi or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Torpedo Kutaisi welcome Samgurali to Stadion Ramaz Shengelia for a Erovnuli Liga fixture on Tuesday 21 April (18:00 WAT). In the table, Torpedo Kutaisi are 5th, upper half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Samgurali are 7th (lower half) with 39.
Current form
Torpedo Kutaisi, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gagra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Samgurali, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dila, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Torpedo Kutaisi, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Samgurali.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Kutaisi 1.8 xG, Samgurali 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Kutaisi 54%, draw 24%, Samgurali 23%.
Lower-risk option: Torpedo Kutaisi or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Torpedo Kutaisi or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Kutaisi 1–1 Samgurali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torpedo Kutaisi54%fair 1.86 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.00
Samgurali23%fair 4.42 · @3.90
2.90Expected goals
1.80Torpedo Kutaisi xG
1.10Samgurali xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Torpedo Kutaisi 1.8 – 1.1 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Kutaisi to win✓
54%
1.86
1.83
Double chance
Torpedo Kutaisi or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Torpedo Kutaisi (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Samgurali +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Torpedo Kutaisi to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Torpedo Kutaisi ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Kutaisi / FT Torpedo Kutaisi✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Torpedo Kutaisi – last 6
DDWLWW
17 Apr
@ Gagra
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Meshakhte
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Dila
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Saburtalo
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ Ayia Napa
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Samgurali – last 6
LLWLDD
17 Apr
vs Dila
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Saburtalo
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Rustavi
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Spaeri
1–4
L
12 Mar
vs Dinamo Batumi
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Kutaisi and Samgurali.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Our pick is Torpedo Kutaisi or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Torpedo Kutaisi have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samgurali 23%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Kutaisi 1–1 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ramaz Shengelia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
