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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rustavi v Dinamo Tbilisi: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · David Petriashvili Stadium

Rustavi

DWDWL
2–3
FT
Rustavi 38%Draw 27%Dinamo Tbilisi 35% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.05
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultRustavi to win ✗38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.84

Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Monday 11 May: Rustavi v Dinamo Tbilisi in the Erovnuli Liga, played at David Petriashvili Stadium. In the table, Rustavi are 4th, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Dinamo Tbilisi are 3rd (among the top four) with 58. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rustavi, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Torpedo Kutaisi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dinamo Tbilisi, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Spaeri, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Dinamo Tbilisi 0–0 Rustavi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rustavi 1.1 xG, Dinamo Tbilisi 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rustavi 38%, draw 27%, Dinamo Tbilisi 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rustavi 1–1 Dinamo Tbilisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rustavi38%fair 2.64 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.20
Dinamo Tbilisi35%fair 2.87 · @2.60
2.17Expected goals
1.12Rustavi xG
1.05Dinamo Tbilisi xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Rustavi 1.1 – 1.1 Dinamo Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRustavi to win ✗38%2.642.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.77–
Draw no betRustavi (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapDinamo Tbilisi +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.681.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗93%1.07–
First team to scoreRustavi to score first46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rustavi / FT Rustavi ✗21%4.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.84–

Recent results

Rustavi – last 6

DWDWLL
5 May@ Torpedo Kutaisi1–1D
1 Mayvs Dila1–0W
22 Apr@ Meshakhte0–0D
7 Aprvs Dinamo Batumi3–0W
3 Apr@ Samgurali1–2L
15 Marvs Gagra1–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dinamo Tbilisi – last 6

WLDDLD
7 Mayvs Spaeri2–1W
21 Aprvs Gagra0–1L
17 Aprvs Meshakhte1–1D
7 Apr@ Torpedo Kutaisi0–0D
3 Aprvs Dila1–2L
15 Mar@ Saburtalo0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Dinamo Tbilisi v Rustavi0–0
Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi321787+1659
2FC Iberia 1999321859+1359
3Dinamo Tbilisi3216106+2058
4Rustavi321688+1256
5Torpedo Kutaisi32111011+943
6Dila3212416040
7Samgurali3211615-1439
8Spaeri3261313-1031
9Gagra3261313-1831
10Meshakhte3231118-2820

More Erovnuli Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

On our numbers Rustavi have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Dinamo Tbilisi 35%.

How many goals will there be in Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Our predicted score is Rustavi 1–1 Dinamo Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.