Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.30
Spaeri vs Gagra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 11 May the Erovnuli Liga brings Spaeri against Gagra at Spaeri Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Spaeri are 8th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Gagra are 9th (in the drop zone) with 31. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Spaeri, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Tbilisi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Gagra, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Batumi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Gagra 0–3 Spaeri.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spaeri 1.5 xG, Gagra 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spaeri 44%, draw 25%, Gagra 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spaeri 1–1 Gagra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spaeri44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Gagra31%fair 3.23 · @3.00
2.61Expected goals
1.46Spaeri xG
1.15Gagra xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spaeri 1.5 – 1.1 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Spaeri vs Gagra?
On our numbers Spaeri have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gagra 31%.
How many goals will there be in Spaeri vs Gagra?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spaeri vs Gagra?
Our predicted score is Spaeri 1–1 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spaeri vs Gagra?
Spaeri vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Spaeri Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
