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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dinamo Tbilisi v Gagra: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
4–0
FT

Gagra

DLWDL
Dinamo Tbilisi 60%Draw 22%Gagra 19% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.78
60%
Betarazi pick

Dinamo Tbilisi to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultDinamo Tbilisi to win ✓60% · @1.65
Double chanceDinamo Tbilisi or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dinamo Tbilisi welcome Gagra to Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena for a Erovnuli Liga fixture on Monday 14 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Dinamo Tbilisi are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 32 matches; Gagra are 9th (in the drop zone) with 31. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dinamo Tbilisi, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Meshakhte, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Gagra, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Torpedo Kutaisi, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Gagra 2–1 Dinamo Tbilisi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Dinamo Tbilisi 0 wins, Gagra 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dinamo Tbilisi 1.7 xG, Gagra 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dinamo Tbilisi 60%, draw 22%, Gagra 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (81%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Dinamo Tbilisi to win (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Gagra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dinamo Tbilisi60%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Gagra19%fair 5.29 · @4.75
2.43Expected goals
1.65Dinamo Tbilisi xG
0.78Gagra xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Dinamo Tbilisi 1.7 – 0.8 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDinamo Tbilisi to win ✓60%1.681.65
Double chanceDinamo Tbilisi or draw ✓81%1.231.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.981.85
Draw no betDinamo Tbilisi (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapGagra +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreDinamo Tbilisi to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dinamo Tbilisi / FT Dinamo Tbilisi ✓36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.88–

Recent results

Dinamo Tbilisi – last 6

DDWLWL
10 Sepvs Meshakhte0–0D
6 Sep@ Torpedo Kutaisi1–1D
31 Augvs Dila2–1W
15 Augvs Rustavi0–3L
9 Aug@ Spaeri2–1W
30 Jul@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius2–7L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Gagra – last 6

DLWDLD
10 Sepvs Torpedo Kutaisi1–1D
5 Sep@ Dila0–1L
31 Augvs FC Iberia 19992–0W
26 Augvs Aragvi Dusheti0–0D
22 Aug@ Rustavi0–3L
17 Augvs Spaeri1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Gagra v Dinamo Tbilisi2–1
21 Apr 2026Dinamo Tbilisi v Gagra0–1
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi321787+1659
2FC Iberia 1999321859+1359
3Dinamo Tbilisi3216106+2058
4Rustavi321688+1256
5Torpedo Kutaisi32111011+943
6Dila3212416040
7Samgurali3211615-1439
8Spaeri3261313-1031
9Gagra3261313-1831
10Meshakhte3231118-2820

More Erovnuli Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

Our pick is Dinamo Tbilisi to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

On our numbers Dinamo Tbilisi have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gagra 19%.

How many goals will there be in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

Our predicted score is Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.