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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Torpedo Kutaisi v Samgurali: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · Stadion Ramaz Shengelia
3–2
FT
Torpedo Kutaisi 61%Draw 18%Samgurali 20% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.99
61%
Betarazi pick

Torpedo Kutaisi to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Kutaisi to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Samgurali travel to face Torpedo Kutaisi on Monday 14 September in the Erovnuli Liga, with Stadion Ramaz Shengelia the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Torpedo Kutaisi are 5th, upper half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Samgurali are 7th (lower half) with 39.

Current form

Torpedo Kutaisi, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gagra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Samgurali, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dila, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Samgurali 2–1 Torpedo Kutaisi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Torpedo Kutaisi 1 win, Samgurali 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Kutaisi 1.9 xG, Samgurali 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Kutaisi 61%, draw 18%, Samgurali 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Torpedo Kutaisi to win (61%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0 Samgurali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torpedo Kutaisi61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @3.30
Samgurali20%fair 4.89 · @3.25
2.94Expected goals
1.95Torpedo Kutaisi xG
0.99Samgurali xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Torpedo Kutaisi 1.9 – 1.0 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Kutaisi to win ✓61%1.631.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.65
Draw no betTorpedo Kutaisi (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapSamgurali +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreTorpedo Kutaisi to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultTorpedo Kutaisi ahead at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Kutaisi / FT Torpedo Kutaisi ✓38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Torpedo Kutaisi – last 6

DDLDDW
10 Sep@ Gagra1–1D
6 Sepvs Dinamo Tbilisi1–1D
31 Augvs Meshakhte0–2L
26 Augvs Dinamo Batumi2–2D
22 Aug@ Dila2–2D
15 Augvs Saburtalo4–3W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Samgurali – last 6

LLDDWL
9 Sepvs Dila1–3L
5 Sep@ FC Iberia 19991–2L
30 Augvs Rustavi1–1D
26 Aug@ Dila1–1D
22 Aug@ Spaeri4–3W
16 Augvs Dinamo Batumi0–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Samgurali v Torpedo Kutaisi2–1
21 Apr 2026Torpedo Kutaisi v Samgurali6–1
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi321787+1659
2FC Iberia 1999321859+1359
3Dinamo Tbilisi3216106+2058
4Rustavi321688+1256
5Torpedo Kutaisi32111011+943
6Dila3212416040
7Samgurali3211615-1439
8Spaeri3261313-1031
9Gagra3261313-1831
10Meshakhte3231118-2820

More Erovnuli Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Our pick is Torpedo Kutaisi to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

On our numbers Torpedo Kutaisi have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Samgurali 20%.

How many goals will there be in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Our predicted score is Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ramaz Shengelia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.