Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Kutaisi to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Samgurali travel to face Torpedo Kutaisi on Monday 14 September in the Erovnuli Liga, with Stadion Ramaz Shengelia the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Torpedo Kutaisi are 5th, upper half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Samgurali are 7th (lower half) with 39.
Current form
Torpedo Kutaisi, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gagra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Samgurali, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dila, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Samgurali 2–1 Torpedo Kutaisi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Torpedo Kutaisi 1 win, Samgurali 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Kutaisi 1.9 xG, Samgurali 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Kutaisi 61%, draw 18%, Samgurali 20%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Torpedo Kutaisi to win (61%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0 Samgurali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torpedo Kutaisi61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @3.30
Samgurali20%fair 4.89 · @3.25
2.94Expected goals
1.95Torpedo Kutaisi xG
0.99Samgurali xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Torpedo Kutaisi 1.9 – 1.0 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Our pick is Torpedo Kutaisi to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Torpedo Kutaisi have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Samgurali 20%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ramaz Shengelia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.