Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultGagra to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceGagra or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Gagra vs Meshakhte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Gagra v Meshakhte in the Erovnuli Liga, played at Mtskheta Park. In the table, Gagra are 9th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Meshakhte are 10th (in the drop zone) with 20.
Current form
Gagra, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Dinamo Tbilisi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Meshakhte, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rustavi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jun 2026) it ended Meshakhte 1–1 Gagra. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gagra 0 wins, Meshakhte 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gagra 1.8 xG, Meshakhte 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gagra 62%, draw 24%, Meshakhte 13%.
Lower-risk option: Gagra or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gagra to win (62%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gagra 1–0 Meshakhte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gagra62%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Meshakhte13%fair 7.46 · @4.00
2.49Expected goals
1.78Gagra xG
0.70Meshakhte xG
42%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gagra 1.8 – 0.7 Meshakhte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Gagra to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Gagra vs Meshakhte?
On our numbers Gagra have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Meshakhte 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Meshakhte?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Meshakhte?
Our predicted score is Gagra 1–0 Meshakhte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Meshakhte?
Gagra vs Meshakhte (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mtskheta Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
