Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Dinamo Tbilisi to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDinamo Tbilisi to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceDinamo Tbilisi or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dinamo Tbilisi travel to face Samgurali on Saturday 19 September in the Erovnuli Liga, with Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Samgurali are 7th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Dinamo Tbilisi are 3rd (among the top four) with 58. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Samgurali, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Torpedo Kutaisi, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Dinamo Tbilisi, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Gagra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dinamo Tbilisi, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Samgurali.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jun 2026) it ended Dinamo Tbilisi 5–3 Samgurali.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samgurali 1.0 xG, Dinamo Tbilisi 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samgurali 17%, draw 23%, Dinamo Tbilisi 60%.
Lower-risk option: Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Dinamo Tbilisi to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samgurali 0–2 Dinamo Tbilisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samgurali17%fair 6.00 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.20
Dinamo Tbilisi60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
2.98Expected goals
0.98Samgurali xG
2.00Dinamo Tbilisi xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Samgurali 1.0 – 2.0 Dinamo Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Our pick is Dinamo Tbilisi or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dinamo Tbilisi 60%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 0–2 Dinamo Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
