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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rustavi v Dinamo Tbilisi: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · David Petriashvili Stadium

Rustavi

WWWLW
0–2
FT
Rustavi 38%Draw 22%Dinamo Tbilisi 40% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.27
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultDinamo Tbilisi to win ✓40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.47

Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Friday 23 October: Rustavi v Dinamo Tbilisi in the Erovnuli Liga, played at David Petriashvili Stadium. In the table, Rustavi are 4th, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Dinamo Tbilisi are 3rd (among the top four) with 58. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rustavi, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Torpedo Kutaisi, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Dinamo Tbilisi, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Spaeri, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Dinamo Tbilisi 0–3 Rustavi. The last 3 head-to-heads: Rustavi 1 win, Dinamo Tbilisi 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rustavi 1.2 xG, Dinamo Tbilisi 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rustavi 38%, draw 22%, Dinamo Tbilisi 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rustavi 1–1 Dinamo Tbilisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rustavi38%fair 2.65 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Dinamo Tbilisi40%fair 2.47 · @2.40
2.49Expected goals
1.22Rustavi xG
1.27Dinamo Tbilisi xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Rustavi 1.2 – 1.3 Dinamo Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDinamo Tbilisi to win ✓40%2.472.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betDinamo Tbilisi (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapRustavi +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreDinamo Tbilisi to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dinamo Tbilisi / FT Dinamo Tbilisi ✓22%4.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.47–

Recent results

Rustavi – last 6

WWWLWD
18 Oct@ Torpedo Kutaisi1–0W
10 Octvs Dila3–1W
26 Sep@ Samtredia2–1W
21 Sepvs FC Iberia 19990–2L
14 Sep@ Meshakhte1–0W
9 Sep@ Spaeri1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dinamo Tbilisi – last 6

WLWWWD
18 Octvs Spaeri3–1W
11 Oct@ Dinamo Batumi0–1L
4 Oct@ FC Iberia 19992–1W
19 Sep@ Samgurali3–2W
14 Sepvs Gagra4–0W
10 Sepvs Meshakhte0–0D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Dinamo Tbilisi v Rustavi0–3
11 May 2026Rustavi v Dinamo Tbilisi2–3
11 Mar 2026Dinamo Tbilisi v Rustavi0–0
Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi321787+1659
2FC Iberia 1999321859+1359
3Dinamo Tbilisi3216106+2058
4Rustavi321688+1256
5Torpedo Kutaisi32111011+943
6Dila3212416040
7Samgurali3211615-1439
8Spaeri3261313-1031
9Gagra3261313-1831
10Meshakhte3231118-2820

More Erovnuli Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

On our numbers Rustavi have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dinamo Tbilisi 40%.

How many goals will there be in Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Our predicted score is Rustavi 1–1 Dinamo Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.