Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Spaeri vs Gagra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Erovnuli Liga brings Spaeri against Gagra at Spaeri Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Spaeri are 8th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Gagra are 9th (in the drop zone) with 31. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Spaeri, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dinamo Tbilisi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Gagra, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dinamo Batumi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Aug 2026) it ended Gagra 1–1 Spaeri. The last 3 head-to-heads: Spaeri 2 wins, Gagra 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spaeri 1.6 xG, Gagra 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spaeri 49%, draw 21%, Gagra 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spaeri 2–1 Gagra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spaeri49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Gagra30%fair 3.34 · @3.00
2.76Expected goals
1.60Spaeri xG
1.17Gagra xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Spaeri 1.6 – 1.2 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Spaeri vs Gagra?
On our numbers Spaeri have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gagra 30%.
How many goals will there be in Spaeri vs Gagra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spaeri vs Gagra?
Our predicted score is Spaeri 2–1 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Spaeri vs Gagra?
Spaeri vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spaeri Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
