Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Olancho to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOlancho to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Olancho vs Juticalpa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Olancho welcome Juticalpa to Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas for a Liga Nacional fixture on Sunday 15 February (00:15 WAT). In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Juticalpa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 2.2 xG, Juticalpa 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 63%, draw 21%, Juticalpa 16%.
Lower-risk option: Olancho or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Olancho to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 2–0 Juticalpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olancho63%fair 1.58 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.60
Juticalpa16%fair 6.36 · @3.85
3.06Expected goals
2.21Olancho xG
0.85Juticalpa xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Olancho 2.2 – 0.8 Juticalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olancho to win✓
63%
1.58
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Olancho or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Draw no bet
Olancho (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Olancho -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Olancho to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Olancho ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olancho / FT Olancho✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Olancho
No recent results on record.
Juticalpa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olancho and Juticalpa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Olancho vs Juticalpa?
On our numbers Olancho have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Juticalpa 16%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Juticalpa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Juticalpa?
Our predicted score is Olancho 2–0 Juticalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs Juticalpa?
Olancho vs Juticalpa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
