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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Espana v Atlético Choloma: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras
Real Espana 64%Draw 23%Atlético Choloma 13% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.85
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Espana to win ✓64% · @1.33
Double chanceReal Espana or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.18

Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlético Choloma travel to face Real Espana on Sunday 15 February in the Liga Nacional – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT. In the table, Real Espana are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Atlético Choloma are 9th (lower half) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Espana 1.9 xG, Atlético Choloma 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Espana 64%, draw 23%, Atlético Choloma 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Espana 1–0 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Espana64%fair 1.56 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.60
Atlético Choloma13%fair 7.65 · @7.75
2.78Expected goals
1.93Real Espana xG
0.85Atlético Choloma xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Real Espana 1.9 – 0.9 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Espana to win ✓64%1.561.33
Double chanceReal Espana or draw ✓87%1.151.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.83
Draw no betReal Espana (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapReal Espana -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.22
First team to scoreReal Espana to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultReal Espana ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Espana / FT Real Espana ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.18–

Recent results

Real Espana

No recent results on record.

Atlético Choloma

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Espana and Atlético Choloma.

Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

On our numbers Real Espana have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético Choloma 13%.

How many goals will there be in Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

Our predicted score is Real Espana 1–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.