Real Espana 64%Draw 23%Atlético Choloma 13%Expected goals 1.93 – 0.85
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Espana to win ✓64% · @1.33
Double chanceReal Espana or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.18
Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Choloma travel to face Real Espana on Sunday 15 February in the Liga Nacional – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT. In the table, Real Espana are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Atlético Choloma are 9th (lower half) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Espana 1.9 xG, Atlético Choloma 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Espana 64%, draw 23%, Atlético Choloma 13%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Espana 1–0 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Espana64%fair 1.56 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.60
Atlético Choloma13%fair 7.65 · @7.75
2.78Expected goals
1.93Real Espana xG
0.85Atlético Choloma xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Real Espana 1.9 – 0.9 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Espana to win✓
64%
1.56
1.33
Double chance
Real Espana or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
Real Espana (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Real Espana -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
First team to score
Real Espana to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Real Espana ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Espana / FT Real Espana✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Real Espana
No recent results on record.
Atlético Choloma
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Espana and Atlético Choloma.
What is the prediction for Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers Real Espana have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético Choloma 13%.
How many goals will there be in Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is Real Espana 1–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?
Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.