Olancho vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CD Marathon travel to face Olancho on Sunday 22 February in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas the venue – the ball rolls at 00:15 WAT. In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 1.2 xG, CD Marathon 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 33%, draw 28%, CD Marathon 39%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.66.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 1–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olancho33%fair 3.00 · @2.75
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
CD Marathon39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
2.52Expected goals
1.23Olancho xG
1.29CD Marathon xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.2 – 1.3 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Marathon to win✗
39%
2.57
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.66
Draw no bet
CD Marathon (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Olancho +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
CD Marathon to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
Olancho – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Juticalpa
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CD Marathon – last 2
DD
16 Feb
@ CD Motagua
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Platense FC
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olancho and CD Marathon.
What is the prediction for Olancho vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Olancho vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Olancho have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and CD Marathon 39%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs CD Marathon?
Olancho vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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