Atlético Choloma vs Victoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Choloma welcome Victoria to Estadio Ruben Deras for a Liga Nacional fixture on Sunday 22 February (02:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Choloma 1.5 xG, Victoria 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Choloma 40%, draw 26%, Victoria 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Choloma 1–1 Victoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Choloma40%fair 2.52 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.20
Victoria35%fair 2.89 · @2.62
2.84Expected goals
1.53Atlético Choloma xG
1.31Victoria xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Atlético Choloma 1.5 – 1.3 Victoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Choloma to win✓
40%
2.52
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Atlético Choloma (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Victoria +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Atlético Choloma to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Choloma / FT Atlético Choloma✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Atlético Choloma – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Real Espana
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Victoria – last 1
W
16 Feb
vs CD Olimpia
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Choloma and Victoria.
What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs Victoria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atlético Choloma vs Victoria?
On our numbers Atlético Choloma have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Victoria 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Choloma vs Victoria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Choloma vs Victoria?
Our predicted score is Atlético Choloma 1–1 Victoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Choloma vs Victoria?
Atlético Choloma vs Victoria (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
