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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lobos Upnfm v Platense FC: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse
1–0
FT
Lobos Upnfm 49%Draw 24%Platense FC 27% Expected goals 1.81 – 1.05
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
1

Value bet: Lobos Upnfm to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLobos Upnfm to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Lobos Upnfm vs Platense FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Platense FC travel to face Lobos Upnfm on Friday 27 February in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse the venue – the ball rolls at 00:15 WAT. In the table, Lobos Upnfm are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Platense FC are 11th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Platense FC, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Juticalpa, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lobos Upnfm 1.8 xG, Platense FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos Upnfm 49%, draw 24%, Platense FC 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Lobos Upnfm to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos Upnfm 1–1 Platense FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lobos Upnfm49%fair 2.03 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.10
Platense FC27%fair 3.71 · @3.10
2.86Expected goals
1.81Lobos Upnfm xG
1.05Platense FC xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%

From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.8 – 1.0 Platense FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLobos Upnfm to win ✓49%2.032.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.77
Draw no betLobos Upnfm (draw no bet) ✓65%1.55–
Asian handicapPlatense FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreLobos Upnfm to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultLobos Upnfm ahead at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lobos Upnfm / FT Lobos Upnfm ✗34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Lobos Upnfm – last 1

L
21 Feb@ Real Espana3–4L
3.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Platense FC – last 3

WDD
22 Febvs Juticalpa4–0W
15 Feb@ Génesis2–2D
13 Feb@ CD Marathon2–2D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lobos Upnfm and Platense FC.

Lobos Upnfm vs Platense FC head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs Platense FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs Platense FC?

On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Platense FC 27%.

How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs Platense FC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs Platense FC?

Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 1–1 Platense FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Lobos Upnfm vs Platense FC?

Lobos Upnfm vs Platense FC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.