CD Motagua vs Olancho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:15 WAT, Monday 2 March: CD Motagua v Olancho in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Olancho are 7th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Juticalpa, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Olancho, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Victoria, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Olancho.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.6 xG, Olancho 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 53%, draw 28%, Olancho 19%.
Lower-risk option: CD Motagua or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–0 Olancho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua53%fair 1.90 · @1.77
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.50
Olancho19%fair 5.19 · @4.00
2.56Expected goals
1.63CD Motagua xG
0.93Olancho xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.6 – 0.9 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✗
53%
1.90
1.77
Double chance
CD Motagua or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Draw no bet
CD Motagua (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Olancho +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
CD Motagua to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
CD Motagua – last 3
WWD
26 Feb
@ Juticalpa
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ CD Olimpia
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs CD Marathon
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Olancho – last 3
LDW
25 Feb
@ Victoria
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs CD Marathon
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Juticalpa
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Motagua and Olancho.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Olancho?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Olancho 19%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Olancho?
CD Motagua vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
