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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Génesis v Lobos Upnfm: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova
0–2
FT
Génesis 41%Draw 25%Lobos Upnfm 34% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.29
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultGénesis to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 32.25

Génesis vs Lobos Upnfm: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:30 WAT, Monday 2 March: Génesis v Lobos Upnfm in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova. In the table, Génesis are 8th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Lobos Upnfm are 6th (upper half) with 19.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Génesis 1.4 xG, Lobos Upnfm 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Génesis 41%, draw 25%, Lobos Upnfm 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Génesis 2–1 Lobos Upnfm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Génesis41%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.40
Lobos Upnfm34%fair 2.91 · @2.75
2.70Expected goals
1.40Génesis xG
1.29Lobos Upnfm xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Génesis 1.4 – 1.3 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGénesis to win ✗41%2.472.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.98–
Draw no betGénesis (draw no bet) ✗54%1.85–
Asian handicapLobos Upnfm +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreGénesis to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Génesis / FT Génesis ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3%32.25–

Recent results

Génesis – last 2

WD
27 Feb@ CD Marathon2–1W
15 Febvs Platense FC2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Lobos Upnfm – last 2

WL
27 Febvs Platense FC1–0W
21 Feb@ Real Espana3–4L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Génesis and Lobos Upnfm.

Génesis vs Lobos Upnfm head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Génesis vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Génesis vs Lobos Upnfm?

On our numbers Génesis have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lobos Upnfm 34%.

How many goals will there be in Génesis vs Lobos Upnfm?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Génesis vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our predicted score is Génesis 2–1 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Génesis vs Lobos Upnfm?

Génesis vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.